Rain likely along Konkan coast in late October, IMD extended-range forecast shows
Above-average rain is likely along the western coast between October 22 and November 5, while Mumbai stays hot and humid until about October 12.
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With the monsoon having withdrawn from the state, signs of fresh rain are now emerging for the last part of October. According to the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) extended-range forecast map, above-average rain is likely in parts of the western coast, including Maharashtra, between October 22 and November 5. The week of October 29 to November 5 will be especially important for rain in the Konkan and along the western coast.
Senior meteorologist Dr Krishnanand Hosalikar, basing his remarks on the IMD forecast, said the likely path of the rain is visible for this period. According to him, there are indications that conditions will become favourable for rain in parts of South India along the western coast in the last week of October and early November. Rain is shown as likely on the southern and western coasts between October 22 and 29. After that, between October 29 and November 5, the map shows indications of above-average rain on Maharashtra's western edge, in the Konkan and in parts of South India.
The northeast monsoon's activity in the southern peninsula could also be significant during this period. However, an extended-range forecast only shows the likely picture of rain. It cannot be said with certainty that any city or district will receive heavy rain. How much rain falls, in which area and how intense it is will depend on the IMD's later, updated forecasts, which will need to be watched.
Meanwhile, Mumbai and the metropolitan region are currently experiencing unusually high temperatures, with the weather remaining hot and humid. In some places the mercury has touched 37 to 38 degrees Celsius. According to weather analyst Ankur Puranik, the discomfort from the heat may continue for the next two to three days, that is until October 12. Conditions may improve somewhat after that.
Puranik said maximum temperatures have reached 37 to 38 degrees Celsius in some places and that some relief may come after October 12. While taking care to protect against the heat for now, it will also be necessary to keep an eye on the likely rain conditions in late October.
